Friday, October 29, 2004

My Predictions

Now seems like an appropriate time to make some predictions. I will try to name them in the order in which they will occur (as a pat on my back -- "Don't hit the receiver!" -- no other prognosticator does this) --

  1. The popular vote in the Presidential election will be close, but not as close as the polls indicate. Chalk this up as "right."
  2. The Presidential election will not be as close as the poles indicate. This is due in large part to the Electoral College and how in most states winner takes all. Once one candidate gets ahead, many people in the Pacific time zone will not vote. This could skew the popular vote too. Chalk this up as "right."
  3. Nope, not going to tell you who will win. Reason: I don't know who will win. It could go either way. It all depends on who shows up to vote. We still don't know, but it leans toward Bush. Interesting to see what happens when one concedes or the other declares victory.
  4. Whether the election is close or not, there will be widespread allegations of voter fraud, voter disenfranchisement, incorrect counting, incorrect/disputed determinations on whether a ballot is valid or not. The list could go on and on. I admit that this one is a softball. We are still hearing about this, mostly about the 2000 election rather than this one, but we keep hearing about Ohio.
  5. Between November 2, 2004 and January 20, 2005, major offensives will be ordered in Iraq. Depending on whether Bush is re-elected, the offensives may occur soon after November 2 (if he wins) or close to January 20 (if he loses). I have lost track of what we have done. Anybody?
  6. The economy will sputter along until the price of oil declines. And there is no end in sight with this one. Our President is an oilman.
  7. The Red Sox will not win next year's World Series. They may win it again in 2090. If we're still alive (see number 5). Still on the edge of our seats. Not.
  8. Jeb Bush will run for president this decade or next. He will lose. Unless he somehow repeals hurricanes in Florida. Then he will take over for Clapton as God.
  9. Jenna Bush will be following in her father's footsteps, making all the same blunders as her dad (read between the lines). It may take 30 years to see this one through. After all, her dad didn't do anything until he passed the half century mark.
  10. If Bush wins, the United States will invade Iran, Syria, or North Korea (don't discount attacking all three, or more!). Appended prediction: Bush will invade at least two countries before he's done. It's just a matter of which one comes first, Iran, Syria, North Korea, Jordan, etc.

As I think of more, I will append to this post.